Saturday, March 1, 2008

Ratings, not Reality

The media is loving the fight between Obama and Clinton, it is driving their ratings through the roof with a rare longer than expected primary fight on the Democratic side.

It is in their interest to make the race seem closer than it is.

But here is the reality and you can crunch the numbers yourself, by going to any of the major news sites.

If Clinton does not win by huge margins, and I mean 20 points or better in Ohio and Texas, she can not win the nomination without most of Obama's super delegates switching to support her.

It just seems amazing to me that the Clinton campaign is getting away with leading the media by the nose to change expectations. The Clinton camp is saying such things as Obama has to win all 4 contest Monday. They are not saying that for the face value of the comment. They are saying it so that people will think, "OK, well Obama better at least win Ohio and Texas".

They are trying to move the expectation for 20 point wins by Clinton, which is highly unlikely, to more modest results. This would make it seem like any success is a momentum changer when in reality it is not.

Don't believe the hype. Clinton must win by 20 points in BOTH Ohio or Texas otherwise this game is over.


Here is a good story from Bloomberg --> link

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